Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Full Lockdown No More Justified

A war or a national calamity is always a Godsend for a PM and political party when the going is not so great. AB Vajpayee lost the confidence vote in April 1999 and was the caretaker PM. The elections in six-months (held in September-October 1999) could have gone many ways. Then Kargil happened in May and the victory over Pakistan dramatically improved ABV’s and BJP’s prospects and he was voted back as PM more convincingly. People forget all other issues when the country is faced with an enemy. Towards the fag end of the PM Modi’s first term, the economy wasn’t doing all that great and there were many other problems. And then Pulwama happened and the retaliation at Balakot in Pakistan. The Balakot bombing was like thumping our chest with pride and throughout the 2019 election campaign, Modi kept shouting “Un ko ghar pe ghoos ke maara”. That and other accomplishments gave another thumping majority to Modi and BJP.

The start to the second term of Modi was sober and, often, lackluster. Come August, 370 was junked and that gave ModiSarkar a boost. Although, junking 370 doesn’t make any difference to anyone individually, it does re-align JK with India and makes big political changes. A couple of months later, the CAA gave Hindu refugees (till 2014) from Afpak and Bangladesh the right to citizenship in India. This resulted in some bogus riots and protests ending in communal violence in Delhi. There wasn’t much cheer on the economy front for ModiSarkar but the visit of US President Donald Trump in February kept spirits going and some level of public revelry. The Delhi violence started after Trump left and the Shaheen Bagh blockade had shown Amit Shah and ModiSarkar as incompetent and inept.

In the face of all this comes the Corona epidemic which is declared a worldwide pandemic and another national crisis, another “War” as Modi called it to fight against. For a govt facing a minor economic crisis and multiple problems Corona was a Godsend. Though India was dealing with Corona from sometime in February, Modi himself got more serious about only in the first week of March or thereabouts:
Given that the Chinese Virus was new, suddenly posing a threat and little was known about it, the initial response to it is understandable. Nobody in the world was prepared for it and China and WHO misled everyone. ModiSarkar too was a bit slow in responding but that is reasonable under the circumstances. The first Corona death in India happened around March 13 and things got a bit more serious. But it wasn’t until March 20 that Modi addressed the nation and persuaded everyone to follow a “Janta Curfew” on Sunday, March 22. Though citizens diligently followed his advice, some panic had already set in and people had started hoarding some items from the market. Then, on March 23rd night, all flights were grounded. And on March 24, Modi made yet another national address announcing a 21-day complete national lockdown till April 14.

This first full lockdown was not very well thought out and seemed announced more in panic and fear. PM Modi kept advising everyone not to panic, not to fear but to take precautions but once again some migrants were running helter skelter in a few days, Muslims in ghettos and mosques didn’t want to follow the lockdown, and the state govts and police were also not fully geared to handle the sudden blockade. Everyone was “adjusting” slowly. But still, no harm done. But what did the govt learn in the 21 days of lockdown? Nobody knows. In some states, the Covid cases and deaths went up and in some states they went down. Then the explosion in cases because of Tablighis happened. And after the lockdown was further extended till May 3, some places had the same mass violations and more so in view of Ramzan:
This post will stick to the issue of lockdown and extension and deal with the mass defiance of lockdown by Muslims in another post as both the issues are separate. Modi likes drama, he likes the “shock and awe” method of doing things even when not everything is like demonetisation. The grounding of flights with many people stranded all over with a 24-hour notice was imprudent when a total lockdown was not called in yet. When the total lockdown was called for, that too was suddenly from midnight of the same evening of announcement without any thought to people still in transit or stuck at various places. The virus was not such a danger that everyone was immediately under a nuclear attack as Modi made out to be. It is almost two months since we have been seriously dealing with Corona – cases, treatments, deaths, medical supplies, violence against health workers, idiotic violations – all of it. Here is what the Covid stats looked like two days ago:
The cases are steadily growing and more so in specific parts in India. The figures in the image above are for April 27 morning. Since this keeps changing every minute, I would suggest you check the latest figures while or after you read this. As the number grows in India, the recovery rate also seems to be growing. Though the number of deaths is also growing, and unfortunately so, it is still around the 3% plus mark against the total cases. However, if you view it against the total Indian population, the number of deaths would appear to be almost negligible. Therefore, extremes like draw a “Lakshman Rekha” and “Don’t go out” and “Don’t let anyone in” are not called for anymore and that level of fearmongering can be clearly avoided. There are regions in India that are less affected and some cities are more affected by Covid. No particular state is that widely affected (except maybe Maharashtra) so as to warrant a 100% lockdown. There are certain districts and cities that are “Red hotspots” and among the top cities affected the most are:

Mumbai, Delhi, Ahmedabad, Indore, Pune, Jaipur, Thane, Chennai, Hyderabad and Agra. Of course, Kolkata is also affected but is missing from the list as it seems real numbers are not coming out from Bengal.

Even in some of these cities, it is clear that “some specific” suburbs and ghettos are badly affected and not the whole city as such. If Jaipur has Ramganj, Ahmedabad has its Eastern part only, Mumbai has Dharavi, Govandi and such places. All of these Red zones have some intimacy with Tablighi Jamaat whose members have been floating around the country. Lives of millions are now damaged. Most of these millions are daily wagers who are left in the lurch with no work and no wages. Although govt claims doles being made, that would hardly be a solution for an extended lockdown.

The initial lockdown may be justified and everyone needs to support the govt and the PM without any reservation. But now we are about to near the end of the second lockdown and there is no justification by numbers or the nature of the enemy for so much fear to exist and for people to be jailed in their homes. As many doctors are pointing out, the simple rule of a quarantine is – to quarantine the sick people, not to jail the healthy people. Many doctors also claim that the more people are locked, the more they are likely it is to weaken their immune system. The stats on international standing on the Corona impact also shows India has been safer and luckier than many of the Western countries:
In the video conference with CMs on April 27, Modi wanted to know if there should be further extension of lockdowns or if they have had enough. A few CMs wanted an extension, some wanted a dole-package and others had no clue as usual. Finally, it does dawn upon Modi, that any further extension of this lockdown can seriously harm the economy and livelihood of people. Currently, polls show he has the approval of 93% people in the manner he has handled the Corona challenge. This may dwindle quickly if reparations aren’t undertaken quickly. The statistics in India do not suggest that a national lockdown or a full-fledged extension is justified in any manner whatsoever.

PM Modi now wants Indians to woo firms that exit China – I wonder if that advice is for the corporate sector or for the govt Babus to target such firms. So far, companies exiting China have shown greater preference for Vietnam and Taiwan. There is nothing – no lure, no incentive and no motivation for any company to move to India. Japan has announced a $2 bn incentive for their companies to return to Japan. Commie policies of ModiSarkar have ensured that India is again an unattractive place for investments. FDI is not in great shape and nor is the manufacturing sector. “Make in India” slogan is all but dead. This is the reality that Modi must wake up to. When shops and businesses come out of lockdown it will take them anywhere between 1 to 3 months to return to full strength and productive work. Most shops that have been closed and have perishable goods will have to throw it all away and clean up. Malls may have to be fumigated as they are favourites for rats and other pests. Even postal services, rail services and air services will take a few weeks to return to normal. So, it is not just recovering from the lockdown but return to “normalcy” that will already cost another month or more. Therefore, no further total lockdowns are justified.

Life after Covid will be very different for a long time. There will be a new normal. People must walk around in masks, protect themselves, Public transport must be frequently disinfected. Gloves must be frequently change, they are not permanent all-day protectors. Public places and hospitals will have to be sanitized every single day. Schools have to find new ways of seating children. Sporting events will have to wait at least another year before stadiums can be filled again. Doctors, nurses, health workers, security forces must be given special medical check-ups so that they return to full healthy service. How people will be accommodated in trains and planes is another challenge for the transport system as “Social distancing” will now be a long-term exercise. All these are challenges and people and govts must face them under the new normal without any more lockdowns.

Life cannot come to a standstill. Even otherwise, every time a person goes out, there are attendant risks – known and unknown. Covid is now at least a known risk. People will be mature enough to deal with it and govts too should mature. The Lockdown must be restricted only to the “Red hotspots” and a majority of India must slowly return to normalcy.

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Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Organised Sadhu Lynching

At the time of writing, there have been over 2 million Corona cases worldwide, over 1.7 lakh deaths. Western countries like US, UK, Italy top the death-list. US, in particular, has seen in alarming jump in Corona cases and the highest number of deaths in the world – 40000. India has seen cases go beyond 19000, thanks largely to the Tablighi Jamaat, and deaths are around 600. There is hardly any country on earth that is not under full or partial lockdown.

During this lockdown and Covid attacking and taking lives, regular crimes have taken a back seat. Usual professions like bank robberies and muggings in the US were not being reported. In India, rapes and pick-pocket cases have disappeared. I heard of only two major cases of crimes. One in Canada involving a crazy gunman killing 18 people and another in France where an “Allah” guy wielding a knife was shot by cops. There might be other minor crimes that may not have come to light. But it’s in the context of the Corona epidemic, orders of social distancing, orders of a complete lockdown that 3 persons were lynched by a mob and murdered at Palghar, a town just near Mumbai. Among the 3 lynched and beaten mercilessly to death by the mob were 2 Sadhus and their driver:
Chikne Maharaj Kalpavrikshgiri (70) and Sushilgiri Maharaj (35) above were killed along with their driver Nilesh Telgade (30). The incident reportedly happened on the night of April 16 around 9-10pm but came to public knowledge a couple of days later. Some shot the whole incident on mobile camera and put it out. It makes gruesome viewing. Even the worst criminals among Hindus are not known to attack Sadhus; even if fake ones are dressed in Saffron. Such is the reverence for Sadhus among Hindus. So, it is safe to assume this lynch mob is not Hindu. This is not the first time Sadhus have been killed in the recent past. They have been killed in UP and Haryana too. Predictably, the first response from the morons of BJP was not how or why this happened but why so-called liberals are not outraging over the incident as their brainless spokie Sambit Patra demonstrates:
Most of these so-called BJP guys were baying for the blood of “liberals” and why they weren’t outraging or some Bollywood idiots weren’t outraging. They didn’t consider it necessary to target Udhav Thackeray and his govt for this incident and nor did anyone ask PM Modi to condemn it. Typically, Narendra Modi turned a blind eye again because the victims were Hindus and not Muslims. In other cases, the PM has been tremendously distressed at accidents involving Muslims. His sense of “Selective Pain” was on display all over again:
Not once has Modi ever been pained at the wanton killing of Hindus except during election campaigns. Dead Hindus are “electoral flesh” for the BJP. They bake their votes on the pyre of these dead ones. And because the victims at Palghar were Hindus there are criminals who started off their synchronised wailing to claim “It’s not communal, it’s not communal”:
This army of “Paid” lunatics of the Commie gang doesn’t even bother to alter their messages a bit here and there for some differentiation. Obviously, these Commie morons don’t have the brains for it and just copy-pasted it from their Whatsapp on orders placed with them. The purpose is clearThe murder of Hindu Monks is Okay. They invited it upon them and deserved it. There is no communal angle because the victim is Hindu and not Muslim or Christian and last, because it is claimed as so, the PM will maintain a silence so as to not upset his Chrislamic appeal. Such vile hatred for Hindus is promoted by various Western lobbies, Commie gangs, Islamist journos, most of the MSM, Congress and other Commie parties, Bollywood criminals and lately, because of the lockdown, they have roped in UAE Hindu workers also as their targets. The Maharashtra CM, a clueless, dithering guy also comes out with a statement after 3 days on arrests and that there is no communal angle to the incident:
How does UT know all this? Did he speak to those arrested? Where are all the 100 arrested housed? Surely, Palghar doesn’t have a police station or building to hold them all. Who told him there’s no communal angle? The cops? Because the cops in this case are the criminals too. The whole case is full of holes that the media and the govts miss. Many BJP guys miss it too because they are more interested in getting the “liberals” to just condemn and outrage over the lynching. There have been sensible calls to UT from Amit Shah and Yogi Adityanath on these murders and the seriousness the investigation they deserve. Had the victims been any other but Hindu, UT and any other Sickular govt would have announced crores of compensation for the families of the victims, govt jobs, a house and a wardrobe. But these are Hindus, so not one rupee or a cat’s whisker has been announced so far. On the contrary, it seems relatives of those arrested are now threatening the Sarpanch of the concerned village, Chitra Chaudhary of BJP. Every crime tells its own story even if there are those trying to cover-up. The RSS member Prafulla Ketkar has a sound theory about the Commies and Missionaries in the region being involved in the crime:
Many sites have reproduced a sequence of events leading to the lynching of the victims and that itself tells a story. This is an extract from an India Today article:
The 2 Sadhus and their driver were on the Dhabadi-Khanvel road near Gadchinchale village in rural Palghar area. Their car was moving towards Vapi and then on to Surat where they hoped to attend the funeral of an acquaintance. Quite unusual that in the night, around 9pm, the Sadhus were travelling during lockdown and hoping to reach Surat through big highways without being stopped anywhere? Where were the Sadhus coming from? The Dhabadi-Khanvel road is a somewhat unusual road to take to Surat unless the travelers are coming from a place not connected to Mumbai in anyway. Anyway, how did the villagers know these men were travelling and the spot where to stop them? They were all assembled well in time to stop the car and the travelers? There is only one explanation for this. The cops were complicit in the murders. The narrative of the villagers being fed stories that they were thieves and child-nappers seems a lot of hogwash. However, time will tell. Right now, the cops are claiming they are “innocent” and were helpless. The videos show the case differently.

Whichever way you look at it – this is no random or spontaneous lynching out of some suspicion. The mob had enough time and almost every member in the mob was armed with wooden stumps and sticks to beat the victims with. The weapons were ready and so were the targets. The extreme hatred towards Hindus and Hinduism being spewed in the West, by Pakistan and their donkeys in India, the Commies and Congress in India means the slaughter of Hindus, especially Sadhus, will be celebrated. They won’t tell you but the so-called Commies and liberals are celebrating this slaughter as much as they celebrated the slaughter of Kamlesh Tiwari. And, the shame is that this crime was perpetrated under the eyes of police and during a lockdown. Hindus and their families should think of their own safety and not rely only on police and govt. This is the message being repeatedly sent by all govts.

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