Wednesday, December 25, 2019

CAB & Jharkhand Lessons

There is a simple rule in business and in the practice a salesman follows. There are usually a few failures before the business realises “what actually works” with the prospective customer. That becomes their “tactic” and usually forms their campaign “strategy” and slogan too. A salesman tries many pitches to prospects and then learns which one produces a purchase. As he learns that, he starts using the same pitch with identical customers with or without modification. A loser, on the other hand, keeps crashing in the same car and makes the same mistake over and over again. He’s a poor learner, unwilling to learn, unwilling to change and practically “unteachable”. Companies don’t sack for failures, they sack the unteachables.

If you look at why the Congress is consistently losing in all the states (their numbers keep dwindling) it is simply because they are using the same moth-eaten brains of the Chinese Gandhis and their useless coterie of bootlickers in the party, media and NGOs. They have a band of Chamelis in various NGOs and corrupt operators who frequently write open letters to vote against BJP or Modi. As long as the same moth-eaten brains of the losers still run the Congress, they will never score a major win anywhere. At the most, they will tailor some opportunistic alliance here and there. From a ruling party, they are now “sidekicks” of regional parties. Using the same “failed brains” that keep producing losses eventually shuts down a company by first corroding its market-share.

Unfortunately, the BJP is sliding into the same “mental frame” as the Congress and their failing Gandhis. A couple of days ago, PM Modi was screaming at the top of his lungs at a public meeting in Delhi: “CAA will not affect one single Muslim citizen of India” or something similar in as many words. This comes after the Sickulars peddled a fake narrative and organised riots and arson across the country. The BJP is losing its “proactive” mentality that it had from 2014-2019 in every narrative and elections. The lung-busting roar of Modi comes a bit too late in the day after so much damage has been done:
It is an utter failure of BJP and its top bosses to not have estimated the fall out of the CAB and its aftermath. They have faced vehement opposition to the Bill in 2016 and should have known that the losing Sickulars had only one resort to oppose the bill – Spread falsehoods, ignite riots and indulge in arson. I am absolutely sure most of the politicians and their rioters wouldn’t have even read the contents of the CAB or its implications. Both PM Modi and HM Shah are now running operations on the same losing pattern as the Chinese Gandhis. They listen to a few in their party, they have idiots in their IT-Cell or SM-Cell and nobody cautions them on being proactive before events happen. In contrast, ordinary BJP supporters who do not hold any position have frequently advised the party on a proactive course of action:
Modi does dozens of “Mann ki baat” every year. Most of them now mundane and boring with little relevance. He may be doing it out of his own passion but the listeners who were once enchanted in listening to these “baats” don’t feel the same anymore. Even Morari Bapu Kathas have a fatigue to it. Still, if he can do so many MKBs, why is that Modi runs away from addressing the nation on critical issues and possible situations of strife? He should have done so after junking #370 too when many were agitating, rioting and the fakery of national and international media was at the govt’s throat. PM’s address to nation may not have averted the riots but would have certainly dented their momentum and impact. Instead, he consistently used #370 as a component of his election rallies in Maharashtra and nobody gave a damn about. It is time the BJP realised: “Modi is a popular PM and not a popular CM candidate in state elections”.  BJP CMs are chosen not on their popular-pull but by the “high command” as is done in the Congress. Some years back they more or less scotched the career of BS Yedyurappa and their stakes in Karnataka. Currently, BSY (after Shivraj Chauhan) is the only BJP CM who has mass appeal and popularity.

Modi’s detachment and the belief that things will die-down slowly is not the art of taking an issue to the people in the face of useless, rioting Sickulars. The tweet above suggested Modi should have addressed the nation even before the CAB was debated in the Rajya Sabha. He and his lipstick ministers were advising the entire country to be peaceful over the Ayodhya verdict when no one really expected mass-rioting anywhere. Nothing happened. YET, with the CAB, when it was damn well known that the Opposition would go all out to instigate riots and arson and agitations were already sprouting, Modi remained silent, did not address the nation nor did any of his media-mujra ministers make any appeals in rallies or in their tweets or anywhere. This is COMPLETE FAILURE of “Estimation Skills”. And after all the damage, Modi roars to the public that CAA is not anti-Muslim. In the 2 weeks since the Bill was passed in the RS, the Opposition, much of the media (including international media) and criminal human rights drug-peddlers have painted the CCA as anti-Muslim. These are lying clowns but even the paint on the face of clowns take a while to peal off. The BJP has been late on the job every single time.

There is no use counselling or addressing the rioters after the damage has been done. Their motives may be many – Ayodhya, CAB, anti-Modi and even causing further damage to a struggling economy. They want nothing more than the destabilisation of India and the economy with their riots. Neither CAB nor NRC affects any real citizen. And some ministers started yakking about NRC across all states even during these riots when it was hardly a politically opportune time. And then GOI goes around denying there’s no immediate plan on NRC. Talk about dunderheads. But when the dead-wood is in your own team, there is bound to be a lackadaisical approach to critical situations. ModiSarkar desperately needs a Cabinet change (not reshuffling a pack of dog-eared cards but CHANGE). But Modi seems burdened with the thought that a Cabinet change would be indirect admission of failure. There is no failure in throwing out incompetence.

Tolerating and condoning INCOMPETENCE has become a prominent feature in ModiSarkar. How does one explain the most useless, incompetent ministers like Prakash Javdekar, RP Nishank or Prahlad Patel still carrying on in the govt and in the Cabinet? There might be some more. All these guys are doing nothing but selling lipstick and the voices of BJP supporters are being ignored. Whether it’s education, media-management and laws or Culture stuff – all these ministers are the worst examples of “unteachables” and non-learners. These guys don’t have a clue about their job and don’t have any real agenda to implement. Such bootlickers have thrived in Congress for ages but they are now thriving in BJP too.

When you run a coterie – the gang only puts up thoughts and ideas to please you. It does not involve tactic or strategy. Losing Jharkhand could have many reasons to it. CAA or NRC are not reasons for it as some are trying to imply. Jharkhand elections were half-way through by CAB. What must bother Modi & Shah seriously is not just that the party lost but their CM Raghubar Das and a handful of ministers also lost the elections. That Das was unpopular and often seen as a rude and arrogant CM seems totally lost on the BJP top management:
There are many reasons why a party makes bad choices and bad decisions – it has developed arrogance; it doesn’t learn and it IGNORES its core voters. Sicko Raghubhar Das was promising “Hajj Houses” for Muslims and more mosques. I could sense he is going to be trashed that very day. Devendra Fadnavis may be a decent CM but he’s certainly not a shrewd politician. He too is a Chrislamist-sucker. BJP is already paying the price for allying with Shiv Sena. It must never make that mistake again. Those who are currently advising the BJP to “wear Sickular lipstick” must be thrown out. BJP should also stop trying to appease Muslims, not even in small token ways. Muslim political leaders keep abusing BJP and Modi in words woven with chicken-feathers. Neither Muslim leaders nor their followers are ever going to support BJP even if Modi delivers the “Quarter moon” to them. If that is lesson is learned, then a few election losses don’t mean all that much. In fact, in Maharashtra, Karnataka and Haryana, the BJP did not lose the elections – they just fell a little short. That “little short” is best explained by bad choices and wearing “Sickular lipstick” and expected losses. One hopes we will see no more of it.

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  1. " it has developed arrogance; it doesn’t learn and it IGNORES its core voters"

    And Our PM too....

  2. Modi is detached from comon man now. Hindutva is left behind. Worried now who will fight for us. Hindus feels that we are cheated.

  3. BJP is now following in footsteps of MKG, perhaps it's in Centenary celebration mode. Appeasement policy has ruined our country more than what happened during Chrislamists rule. Will BJP and NaMo wake up and strive for preservation and uplifting of Bharat rashtra ??

  4. The communication strategy has been an utter failure of this govt and party. Useless spokespersons, who crave for approval from the media, who can't go out completely on the offensive when they come across nonsense being peddled. Instead of this now boring Mnn ki baat, why can't Modi address the nation directly on more pressing issues we face. And for God's sake, when will BJP learn to be ruthless??

  5. Ravi bhai

    What no one’s talking about is the need for the central government to upgrade central police forces that are expected to control stone pelting rioters.

  6. Rioters must be dealth with a heavy hand anyone indulging in violence must be arrested & deemed fair game to be shot & all damages recovered from the rioters & the organisation supporting them or with they belong to along with very hefty fines ,buses burnt in any area must see withdrawal of service to that area for 1 to 12 months depending on severity of the violence & loss.Passports too must be cancelled & all govt benifits to whole family stopped

  7. I sometimes ponder, how, if at all, has this government has impacted my life (positively or negatively) in the last 6 years. As a progressive-minded person, I was expecting the "Gujarat model of development" to be replicated across the country. May be I am not seeing it and others are. There are so many issues that need to be dealt with and so many promises to keep, then, why is the government distracting people with issues that may be important but not of immediate priority? No wonder they keep loosing state after state. It is not too late. They can wake up even now and work on fulfilling their promises otherwise, people are bound to conclude that those promises and dreams were all hot air.

  8. The Abrahamic followers will never vote BJP. Modi and team should focus on their core constituencies middle class, business, farmers and Hindutva

    1. My understanding on politics...

      (middle class, business, farmers and Hindutva)-(farmers): f group are die hard congressie voters.

  9. Pessimism is misplaced. Core agenda fulfilled.

    NAA, NRC, RTE or control of temples is not something Hindus on street related to. They are not even aware of civilisation aspects of these issues.

    Still, Modi is sticking with it and going ahead irrespective of support or collateral damange.

    As far as state election result are concerned, bjp supporters need to have realistic expections. BJP won 70% seats contested by them in Maharashtra and in Jharkhand, vote share was 33%-34%, highest ever in state election for BJP. In maharashtra, bjp supporters were behaving from the very next day as they have lost the election.There would be some blips on a long journey.

  10. The BJP has squandered the margin of "lesser evil" on which its success was founded by embracing all the policies of the Khangress it replaced, right since 2014.

  11. Modi needs to understand that ...

    a) Local issues matter. The Pathalgadi issue is an active issue where disinformation & whisper campaign was in full swing. Scores of 'activists' were supposedly in jail. Modi never touched those issues. He was talking all about Pakistan.
    b) Raghubar Das became an arrogant man. But BJP high command never noticed that. The defection of Sarayu Rai was caused by that.
    c) The land acquisition bill may have been done with good intent. But Congress campaign made tribals suspicious towards it. They feared that their lands will be taken out forcibly. BJP & Modi never talked much about it.
    d) The recent disinvestment drive may have got plaudits from leading Economists and businessmen. But in Eastern India where private industries are very less, the disinvestment has drawn strong negative reaction. Modi has not given any 'Mann ki Baat' on this point so far. Most people see Modi-ji as an agent of Adani-Ambani and other big business houses.

    Assembly and Parliamentary elections are fought along different lines. Modi knew it. But he has forgotten the nuances. And BTW, RSS who provides the inputs about different states has less idea about Eastern India.

  12. What happened to your Twitter account?

  13. whitehouse has daily briefings,, thats all they need todo,,,

  14. This comment has been removed by the author.

  15. HM seriously confused people by saying on a televised interview that neither the passport nor PAN Card nor voting card nor the Aadhar card will be entertained as proof of citizenship for the NRC exercise.
    In that case, several valid questions arise: (1) If passport is not valid then the issuing agency (Ministry of External Affairs) needs to be questioned, not the holder of the passport (2) if PAN card is not valid then return people's income tax back to them. (3) If voter card is not valid, then, dear HM, you are questioning the very existence of your own govt which was voted into power by people on the very basis of that voter card (4) If Aadhar card is not valid, then, again the burden of responsibility lies on the issuing agency, not the holder.
    In one fell swoop, the HM makes a sweeping statement (such as the above) and expects people to abide and obey. Seriously??

    Disclaimer: I fully support deporting or otherwise suitably treating illegal aliens (as per intl law) and I am vehemently against any kind of violence, the one that is perpetrated by the aggrieved party/parties and the one that is perpetrated by the state.

  16. Hindus have stopped trusting any other political party except BJP.BJP must realise this.Ravi is right about uselessness of pursuing Muslim votes.Like Hindus trust BJP Muslims dont.Simple.Best way is to assure Muslims that they will continue to have rights available to every Indian citizens and nothing more than that.
    For CAA we can not blame BJP.It has been passed in both the houses after prolonged debate and enough media coverage.BJP has tried its best to tell Indian Muslims that CAA does not concern them.Muslims are being used as pawns by Congress,Communists,urban Naxals and their friends in media to convey to Indians and the world that there is civil war out there.BJP has done well to crush it with heavy hands.Tantrums by Mamata didi and others only prove that they are trying to rise storm over a non issue.Agitations are helping BJP consolidate its Hindu vote further.Reason why it has to become more pro Hindu rather than less as argued by you.Last thing BJP supporters/voters want is BJP leadership falling in the trap laid by anti Hindu [ and anti India] forces.Reason why Modi's pro Muslim statements are being given more prominence.This is prompting lower rung leadership to pander to minority sentiments without rhyme or reason.In Jharkhand BJP's vote share has gone up [ as compared to 2014 state elections].This is in spite of CM and state president loosing big time along with their colleagues.There is message for BJP leadership.Hindus wont desert you in a hurry.In Maharashtra they gave 162 seats to pro Hindu alliance.

  17. Ravi,
    My comment is not related to the blog and you can very well delete for its irrelevance. I request you to use Twitter only to capture info. The platform is heavily biased.


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