The exit polls after the recent round of elections in 5 states aren’t showing great results for the Congress. While only final results on December 8 will confirm if these predictions are accurate there is every reason to believe that the Congress internally knows the outcomes may not be very encouraging for them. Here’s a summary of what the exit polls have generally indicated (this may change a bit here and there for Delhi):
Democracy is considered a better form of government and life because it promises equality of all citizens and justice for all. In India, though, this is far from reality and neither are citizens equal nor is there justice for all. Since the British were fond of divide and rule we have inherited the same principle in almost every party whose mother has been the Congress. While calling others “divisive and polarising” it is actually Sonia Gandhi (earlier IndiraG and RajivG) who has been the most divisive politician. It’s a guiding principle for the Congress party and executed by SoniaG and her foot-soldiers. Correspondingly, this same party has no respect for law and corrupt operators flourish under its rule. The laws and policies the party makes are basically “survival” measures to retain power. Most of these laws and policies have nothing to do with real progress, development, growth or justice.
There is a concept in accounting called “materiality concept” which any book-keeper or Accountant will tell you about. While this mostly refers to what is reflected in a financial statement we can also apply it to simple purchases and how we treat them. For instance, a normal office stapler costs between Rs.80 and Rs.500. Though the stapler is physically an asset it is treated as an “expense” because of the materiality concept and not as an asset that gets depreciated every year. Someone owing you Rs.1000 but has assets worth Rs.1 crore is not going to bother you much but the reverse would definitely bother you. I read a DNA report about a Postman who lost his job in 1984 accused of embezzlement. He was finally acquitted in 2013, after 29 years. During this period he lost 3 children, another one has a heart ailment and survived doing odd jobs with the tag of “thief”. The amount he was accused of embezzling? All of Rs.57.60! From the same period no big criminal was punished for the slaughter of Sikhs. No major criminal was punished for the loot of 64 Crores in the Bofors scam.
In most of the campaign or speeches of Congress leaders there isn’t really any materiality involved. Lame nonsense like “roads and airports cannot feed you” by Rahul Gandhi is the kind of statement people are not buying anymore. So when bragging “we brought RTI for you” is Congress claiming people can “eat the RTI” and fill their stomachs? Does any law fill anyone’s stomach? Saying “we gave you FSB” in places where the PDS system and food systems are better is equally immaterial. In parts of Chattisgarh people refer to CM Raman Singh as “Chawal wale Baba” (Rice-provider) indicating he has done much better than Congress in managing food distribution. Raman Singh doesn’t brag about some FSB or PDS innovation, people believe he “delivers”. Another myth that is being repeatedly busted is the fake claims of Congress on secularism. If airports and roads don’t feed the poor, as RG stupidly claims, secularism doesn’t feed anyone or deliver water to anyone. The baking of Muslim and minority votes also seems to be under threat. Muslims are also wiser having been fooled by Congress and other “sickular” parties all these years.
It is evident that Narendra Modi is setting the agenda and the Congis are all at sea on how to combat him. Modi’s appeal is not restricted to urban classes but also extends to rural folks. In the recent elections the middle class in Delhi too turned up in large numbers. Of course, according to wiseguy Wagle, the middle class who vote for BJP are idiots without IQ. This is the language in the media that the Congress also uses. Sheer arrogance and contempt for people! Their top 2 leaders, the Gandhis, simply do not possess the grip on various issues to combat Modi. This just leaves the foot-soldiers to indulge in name-calling. Someone described the reason for the massive turnouts at Modi rallies. He speaks a language that ordinary people understand and connect with. He rakes up issues without fear and he makes a mockery of this fake secularism. Media cronies of Congress like Kumar Ketkar and Vinod Mehta like to believe there is no Modi-wave but it’s the “non-performance” of Congress that is working against them. That is a worse indictment which doesn’t dawn upon these guys. Fighting Modi might still be possible but fighting a perception among people of “non-performance” is tougher. The media is blind to the danger of their own lies.
Lately Modi even brought up the Article 370 which seems to have upset a whole lot of people. The BJP is right in claiming that A370 needs a relook and debate. Arun Jaitley writes “Article 370 has nothing to do with Secularism. Its an instrument of oppression against citizens of India”. Here are some excerpts:
“The Nehruvian vision of a separate status has given rise to aspirations for the pre-1953 status, self-rule and even Azadi. The desire of proponents of these three ideas has weakened the constitutional and political relationship between Jammu & Kashmir and the rest of the country. The journey of separate status has been towards separatism and not towards integration. It would be incorrect for anyone to interpret BJP's challenge for a debate on this issue as a softening of stand on Article 370… The State laws in Jammu & Kashmir were consistently interpreted for over five decades to mean that a daughter in Jammu & Kashmir would lose her status as a permanent resident of the State as also special rights and privileges available to her if she married outside the State. This was based on an erroneous belief that a wife followed the domicile of the husband. A large number of women in Jammu & Kashmir questioned the constitutional validity of this provision. A Full Bench of the High Court of Jammu & Kashmir by a judgement dated 7th October, 2002 re-interpreted the law and by a majority judgement held that a daughter marrying outside the State would not lose her status as a permanent resident”.
So a majority of citizens of this country are being misled. The truth is that A370 was created at a certain time and a certain situation. That situation has dramatically altered now. The “rulers and maharajas” of J&K whether the Abdullahs or Muftis have been constantly playing a “Kabhi haan, Kabhi naa” game on where they stand on issues of terrorism and separatists. A separatist like Geelani openly calls for violence to separate Kashmir from India. Therefore, A370 too needs a relook. All political parties were shying away from it so far and there is no escape anymore. Other princely states that joined India were allowed privy purses which were to be reduced progressively. But in a sudden move Indira Gandhi abolished the privy purses. So there is no logic behind keeping A370 permanently burning. This appeals to most Indians and Congress has no answer.
With a dying party, with a history of dictatorial tendencies, in danger of losing power in many states and the Centre, the only option is to create more fear, more divisions in society, make draconian laws to ensure “survival”. This is the only political tactic that Congress has always known: “survival”. So they bring up the Communal Violence Bill again which they propose to table in parliament and pass it this Winter session. There’s an old rule in India: If a cycle crashes with a two-wheeler, it’s the two-wheeler’s fault. If the two-wheeler crashes with a car it’s the fault of the car. If the car crashes with a truck, it’s the truck’s fault. If a truck crash with a train…. That in short describes the CVB. All communal riots or violence are faults of the “majority” group. In other words: Hindus. In many states the Congress has been wiped out for decades. TN, Bengal, UP, Bihar, Gujarat are all important contributors to the national kitty of LS seats. The CVB empowers the Centre to act and intervene with forces in case of a communal riot in some state. Any law that is likely to be misused WILL be misused. 66A anyone?
In a debate on TimesNow on December 3 the Congress spokie, Sanjay Jha, made a dramatically foolish claim that went unchallenged. He cited the plight of Kashmiri Pandits (KPs) who were driven out of Kashmir around 1989-90 by local and imported terrorists and claimed the CVB would also protect the KPs. That is like saying the Sikhs who were slaughtered in Delhi and across India by the Congis would be protected by the CVB. Such is the silly argument presented by the Congi. First, the KPs have been driven out in lakhs with hardly any hope of returning home. They have settled across India and also abroad and the current situation in Kashmir is hardly encouraging. Most importantly, how the hell does Jha claim CVB will help them in the context of A370? It is common knowledge that legislations by our parliament do not automatically extend to J&K because of A370. So there is absolutely no sense in claiming CVB will protect anyone in J&K. This is the kind of spurious logic the Congis use. And given that Muslims are in majority in J&K there is hardly any chance that the Abdullahs will approve the CVB for the state. Therefore, for all practical purposes the Hindus are the villains.
Thus, the CVB is another law that the Congress hopes will drive Muslims rushing to vote for it in the next elections. This is an act of a loser. It’s a desperate measure by a dying party that refuses to see the writing on the wall. In a scathing article, former vice-chief of army and former governor of J&K, slams the entire miserable rule of the Congress: “Sham secularism, feudal democracy”. What are they going to do? Is Rahul Gandhi going to next say “we brought CVB” and that will feed the stomachs of poor minorities? Instead of removing lines of division and fostering more harmony the Congress is hell bent on further dividing people and generating hostilities. The most stinging and honest description of SoniaG being the most divisive politician comes from TheJaggi in FirstPost:
“Today, she realises that the same divisiveness her origins generated earlier may stick to her ineffectual son too, and in order to neutralise this the Congress strategy is to build up the bogey of Narendra Modi‘s divisiveness so that the Dynasty’s own inherent divisiveness is glossed over. This project would have died an unsung death if Vajpayee had won in 2004 and LK Advani in 2009, but fate decreed otherwise, and it is in Sonia’s interest now to foster further divisiveness by demonising Modi… Thanks to 2002, it is not difficult to paint Modi as a “divisive” figure. Let’s assume for a moment that that is true, but the real question is: divisive for whom? If you line up all the critics of Modi and his alleged “divisiveness” you will find that it is the Congress-Left-Secular Delhi “liberal” elite that finds him “divisive”. If some of the regional parties are today parroting this same story of Modi’s divisiveness, it is because it suits their short-term electoral purposes”.
The truth about the recent elections is that people aren’t just rejecting the Congress, they are rejecting the “Gandhis”. The Congress must at least acknowledge that Rahul Gandhi is a total flop and does not inspire people. He might inspire the Barkhas and Rajdeeps but not the voters. They also need to understand SoniaG needs to shed her arrogance and her dialogue needs to be one of humility. There is only so much that people are willing to forgive. If this CVB is the last straw or the final threat the Congress is hanging on to, it will fail miserably.