There’s a golden rule in the Mafia: “Never rat on your friends and always keep your mouth shut”. This is one reason why many mafia guys couldn’t be put away because no member would testify against each other. Still, when honest law officers started going after them they did manage to find some “rats” and offer them deals to testify against others. We have many mafias in India too; oil mafia, coal mafia, betting mafia, NGO mafia, political mafia, legal mafia and, of course, the media mafia. There might be some more. Thanks to all round corruption by govts and a mockery of law and judiciary. The last decade has seen a phenomenal growth of these mafias. Some of them have a reason to fear.
Rajdeep Sardesai screams his head off asking if Narendra Modi will be acceptable to Muslims. He continues to rage “Modi is hated and feared by Muslims”. All the titles Rajdeep has used for Modi or gladly allowed to be used on his channel; Maut ka saudagar, hero of hatred, Hitler, Butcher, Scorpion etc. are starting to haunt him. He’s not alone; there are others in other news outlets too. I am no pundit but the wind seems clearly blowing against their political masters; the Congress. Many of them fear NaMo being Prime Minister. It could end the life they knew so far. They could become an “average nobody” like you and me. It could be worse for some who may end up in prison.
So here are the Top 10 groups that I estimate fear the rise of NaMo to PM the most. This is not a prediction. This is an estimate based on an analysis of facts already in the public domain. In some of the groups it may be a few controlling individuals who may face the heat more than the group itself. There is no ranking, these are listed alphabetically.
Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI)
What does it say about the supposedly premier investigative organisation in the country when the highest court in the land calls it a “caged parrot”? There may be many officers in CBI who will feel happy if NaMo becomes PM. It’s the rogues and doormats who have the most to fear. Who will nail those rogues? It will probably be the good guys who will come forward to speak and testify. Along with them there will be “rats” who will testify against criminal officials who used fake testimonies and witnesses to witch-hunt their targets. The criminals among the officers are also those who let off other criminals either through political favours to their masters or monetary favours.
No single political group has more to fear than this one. NaMo doesn’t appear to be stupid. I imagine he would have learned lessons from the Janata govt of 1977 who botched up the prosecution of IndiraG for the crimes of Emergency. He is also not going to be an appeaser like AB Vajpayee of the NDA and overlook crimes. However, it is unlikely he will hound any of the Congress “family” members and relatives and gently allow law to prevail. The disadvantage for Congress if NaMo becomes PM is that he never talks about fallen opponents. Thus, they may not generate any sympathy for themselves like IndiraG did. The fallen ones will have to do it for themselves. In particular, the life of the Gandhis which has been like “there is no law for us, we do what we want” may come to an end. I can’t predict what the extended family of Vadra will do but they have much to fear too. Sonia Gandhi will be spared but I don’t see any luck for RahulG. The added problem for Congress is that they don’t have any other leader worth the name. Not at the Centre, not at the State. Regional parties will score at their expense.
The term Establishment covers a very vast group of people who are usually the foot-soldiers of a govt. However, in this list we will limit our understanding of it to mean the ‘Babus’ and assorted ‘Top cops’. I have seen some of the men and women of this Establishment in action. Err... no, not at their offices but at other privileged places. Some of them sit around and gossip and constantly plot their next haul of the “loot” or “luxuries”. These are the criminals who delay files, manipulate files and even make files disappear. You know, like the ones in Coalgate or the CWG scam. The honest ones (who are rare) who are suffocating under the current Congress govt will be happy. The rest will find the life they knew is over.
Niira Radia was probably the tip of the iceberg. Since lobbying is not legal in India these “pimps” parade as PR agents. Deals like Agusta Westland may not go the Bofors way. Deals like Jet-Etihad will come under renewed scrutiny. All the brokers may not face prosecution but their business will be dented in a big way. They will not go out of business either because no govt survives without these lobbyists. The visibly illegitimate deals will face a threat, including some brokers who are in the news media. The only difference between now and if NaMo becomes PM is that national interests will acquire priority and not private coffers.
These criminals and their “useful idiots” face a grave threat if NaMo becomes PM. My estimate is most of the groups will be wiped out. It is essential. Under NaMo the govt may not pussy-foot on action against them. At best, there may be one last option for dialogue and that’s all. NaMo will perhaps not hesitate to use the full force of the Army all the might of the State to end this nuisance. Of course, the Maoist sympathisers will run all over crying “human rights” but it’s not going to deter NaMo. It has never been the case that the State doesn’t know who these groups are, where they operate, who their leaders are and how they get their weapons. The IB officers will certainly not be talking to some Pappu types in changed circumstances. The Maoists have survived only because of foreign funding, supply of weapons and exceptional sympathy of the Commies within India. Most of this menace will end.
This group need not fear for survival and overall can expect prosperity. But there are definitely certain criminal elements that have been protected by the govt so far who will face the music. Collectively, the criminal elements in this group have hounded NaMo for over a decade but they can rest assured there will be no witch-hunt and no actions for “revenge”. The few things that will definitely happen are new regulations on transparency in reporting, funding and such rules will come up. Ownership patterns of media outlets will have to be disclosed. Some media celebs who have so far lived the life of “power brokers” may have to find new avenues to earn their luxuries. Those involved in power-broking and lobbying will face prosecution as the SC has already taken up the case and CBI will not be allowed to issue “clean chits” without fair action. The life that some scumbags and scumbaginis lived in the last decade may be over. Some may even retire or leave the country. Expect some mergers and divorces too.
Without the slightest doubt a large number of spurious “businesses” under this category will wind up. Not just because of NaMo but changed govts usually dry up funding for many. It is quite possible that temples which were being looted by govts so far may benefit by a certain level of freedom to be managed by Apex bodies of Trusts rather than govt. The most worried of this lot would certainly be the missionaries funded by vested interests from abroad. They will be hit not only for stricter funding laws but some of the “religion-businesses” may suffer because NaMo may bring about an anti-conversion law that he has already enacted in Gujarat. There is a definite threat to operators like Teesta, Shabnam, Harsh Mandar and the like not only for sources and use of funds but also for certain other activities.
Certain organisations in the public sector will have to shape up or get out to make way for new management. This is not only a fear that PSUs have but also an economic necessity. Air India may not continue to get the doles for non-performance. That Ratan Tata has already made statements showing willingness to take up Air India should be an indication. And people are aware what Ratan Tata thinks of Modi. Insurance and oil companies will be under greater scrutiny on their pricing and spending. The CEOs of PSUs who used their companies as “private yachts” will have to undergo some weight-reducing exercises. There are those who have funded “private parties” like the Hindustan Times Summit or the “Indian of the year” nonsense on some channels. These CEOs may be spending time in some rural areas doing some more constructive work. Reforms and disinvestment may return.
This is a group that is not going to be “targeted” as such. Not one bit! Remember, after all NaMo too is a politician and no matter what, sharks don’t eat sharks (except Congress). However, those already in the dock and named in scams will be investigated and prosecuted faster. This is one group that should not only fear NaMo but this is a case where NaMo should fear people as well. If NaMo does not bring certain scam-accused politicians to justice it would be a major failure in the fight against corruption. The “go slow” agitation by CBI and other investigators will end and accused like Raja, Kanimozhi, Marans, Kalmadis and the whole gang will face justice faster. I guarantee, no matter what Manmohan Singh will not be prosecuted for Coalgate or any other scam although he may have fears. MMS will be allowed to lead a peaceful life as a former PM.
Terrorists & their sympathisers:
This is one group that has the most to fear NaMo. It is ironical to say that terrorists have “sympathisers” but it’s an unfortunate fact. The terrorists on the borders, especially J&K and some NE States, will have the most to fear because NaMo is almost certain to give the Army a completely free hand to deal with the menace. The other “verbal terrorists” who act as sympathisers may also fear NaMo because he may bring in new laws that will prevent the kind of speeches that Genocide Suzy and her types indulge in. The separatists in Kashmir will not be molly-coddled as they have been in the past. Men and women in the in the Anti-terror squads may find greater protection under new laws that safeguard them from wanton slandering and court cases. Cases already in the courts may see a faster closure one way or another.
That is that! I have always been fascinated by the Mafia and the Crooks since my school days. Their lifestyle, their codes, their oaths and their “ethics” have always impressed me. For instance, there is an ethical practice in the Mafia: They never kill their targets in front of wives or family members. They could never get Al Capone for murders; they got him for tax-evasion. Some of our Mafia members in the above groups may face a similar fate. While I remain fascinated, I do like and desire endings like these for the Wiseguys and the Crooks. And the narration of the Rat, Henry Hill, in the end scene of “Goodfellas” (a true story) says it all (2.30 mins):
For some members of the groups I’ve listed, the life they knew will be over. Some will disappear. Some will turn rats and receive mercy as State approvers. Many will become average nobodies like you and me. They will have to wait in lines like you and me. Some will end up in prison. But most of the crooks are guaranteed to live the life of a Schnook.
Disclaimer: This is a work of estimation and not to confused with “definite” prediction against any of the groups mentioned or individuals.